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2013

T H E O U T L O O K F O R E N E R G Y: A V I E W T O 2 0 4 0

Contents

2

10

14

Global fundamentals

Residential/commercial

Transportation

22

26

32

Industrial

Electricity generation

Emissions

Global fuel mix by decade
Percent

36

100

44

48

80

Other
renewables
Nuclear
Hydro

Gas

60

Oil
40

Supply

Global trade

Energy evolution

20

Coal

Biomass
0

49

1800

1850

1900

1950

This report includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including
Data as of 09/27/2012
due to changes in technology,
the development of new supply sources, political
Smil

Bio

Coal

Oil

Gas

Hydro

Nuc

Renew

97.56
96.03
95.13
92.69
86.75
80.83
72.87
62.55
50.51
40.91
38.66
36.41
32.06
26.81
21.96
11.12
10.02
9.90
9.79
9.29
8.29
8.15
7.83

2.44
3.97
4.87
7.31
13.25
19.11
26.67
36.17
47.34
55.43
54.74
51.04
51.43
45.05
38.14
25.48
24.01
24.01
21.61
25.71
24.81
22.44
18.60

0
0
0
0
0
0.06
0.35
0.83
1.49
2.54
4.95
8.85
11.78
19.46
27.14
42.73
42.88
37.99
37.90
34.01
32.37
31.05
31.65

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.31
0.53
0.91
1.3
3.04
3.88
7.48
11.05
18.38
18.41
19.88
21.44
21.95
23.55
25.34
26.75

0
0
0
0
0
0
0.12
0.13
0.14
0.21
0.36
0.66
0.85
1.19
1.7
1.82
2
2.03
2.15
2.22
2.39
2.58
2.72

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.02
0.41
2.52
5.79
6.45
5.48
5.90
6.84
8.36

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.07
0.17
0.4
0.66
1.34
2.32
3.15
4.08

"1800"
98.28
0
0
0
0
0
events, demographic changes,
and
other1.72
factors
discussed
97.86
2.14
0
0
0 herein
0 and 0under the

heading “Factors Affecting Future Results” in the Investors section of our website XOM Energy Outlook 2012
at:  The information provided includes ExxonMobil’s

For: GCG
Scott Turner/ Brian Wilburn 817-332-4600

internal estimates and forecasts based upon internal data and analyses as well

File name:

"1900"

as publicly available information from external sources including the International
Energy Agency. This material is not to be used or reproduced without the
"1950"

permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. All rights reserved.
"2000"

"2040"

exxonmobil.com/energyoutlook

2040

economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially

"1850"

Data/glossary

2000

Source: Smil, Energy Transitions (1800-1960)

48 2012 XOMEO-EnergyEvolution.ai

Placed file(s):None
For page:
Updated by:

??
Last updated: 10/04/2012
Carol Zuber-Mallison

ZM GRAPHICS • 214-906-4162 • carol@zmgraphics.com
(c) 2012 ExxonMobil

The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040
The Outlook for E...
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